18 April, 2008...3:23 am
Bold predictions
By Ant Rogenous
Tim Blair has provided yet more irrefutable, scientific evidence to disprove the crackpot leftist conspiracy that is anthropogenic global warming. And because his discerning readers demand variety, he’s taken the highly unusual step of tying it in with a pot shot at Tim Flannery:
2004:
Australian paleontologist and popular author Tim Flannery said Perth was a city on the edge - isolated, dependent on energy and declining water supplies and more likely to feel the effects of global warming …
Perth will become a ghost city within decades as rising global temperatures turn the wheatbelt into a desert and drive species to the brink of extinction, a leading Australian scientist warns.
2008:
Before today, persistent lows have soaked the city with 107.8mm of rain since the start of the month and only 41mm of rain needs to fall to break the 1926 April record of 148.8mm.
Perth remains on track to break the record for the wettest April ever recorded …
The embarrassing trouble for Tim’s argument, however, is that he seems to have bolded the wrong words in the second sentence:
Perth will become a ghost city within decades as rising temperatures turn the wheatbelt into a desert …
Still, we mustn’t be too tough on him: as this pre-Iraq war interview shows, Tim’s not all that astute when it comes to analysing potential catastrophes and predicting their outcomes:
JOHN HAWKINS: If and when do you see the United States hitting Iraq? How do you think it’ll work out?
TIM BLAIR: It all depends on Iraq’s fearsome Elite Republican Guard. Why, those feisty desert warriors could hold out for minutes. Dozens of US troops will be required. Perhaps they’ll even need their weapons.
Don’t know when, of course. Wouldn’t expect it to last long once it happens.
That’s five years and counting now, Tim. Yet you suggest Flannery’s decades-long prognosis has been disproved after four because of a wet April.
Your Ph.D will be ready to collect from Kwik Copy in about 10 minutes.
13 Comments
18 April, 2008 at 10:43 am
It’s amazing how regularly the Blair/Bolt idiot continuum seeks to use single weather events to disprove AGW. Their moronic followers keep telling us that this is a parody of the AGW proponents, but shit - how long is this ‘parody’ going to continue?
These guys must be absolutely atrocious stock market investors. A sharemarket could be on a ten year growth trend but if a single share slipped for a single month they’d declare recession and call every economist a liar.
18 April, 2008 at 12:02 pm
And because his discerning readers demand variety, he’s taken the highly unusual step of tying it in with a pot shot at Tim Flannery
Pwned. It’s like groundhog day on that blog, but I wouldn’t know as I have been banned from viewing it.
Nice one though Ant. Fucken armchair generals. Blair thinks he is a expert on military strategy because he got an e-mail from a GI once.
18 April, 2008 at 12:05 pm
Actually, as is clear from the quote - he was talking about the initial invasion and overthrow of Saddam. He was right on that one, now, wasn’t he.
18 April, 2008 at 12:18 pm
Nic, the question was:
If and when do you see the United States hitting Iraq? How do you think it’ll work out?
And Blair said:
…Wouldn’t expect it to last long once it happens.
If the question was, “How long do you think it will take for the US to overthrow Saddam’s regime and occupy Baghdad?”
Then Blair’s answer might be almost right. Almost.
18 April, 2008 at 12:29 pm
Righto, Nic. And the ongoing consequences of such a poorly conceived invasion have nothing whatsoever to do with the matter, do they?
Why on earth would we include the aftermath of the overthrow in our assessment of the war’s success?
After all, it’s not as though the invasion was conceived as an attempt to bring stable democracy to a nation ruled by a despot; to fight terrorism at its (highly disputed) source; and to secure better access to a certain precious, dwindling natural resource.
Anyway, who could have predicted things would turn out so catastrophically? WHY WASN’T TEH LEFT WARNING US ABOUT WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN??/?!!1!??
18 April, 2008 at 12:32 pm
They war has been won though Ant, haven’t you heard?
18 April, 2008 at 1:12 pm
oh dear. Yes it is a wet April
But then again Perth just came out of a record dry spell :
http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,23078003-2761,00.html
Dickwads.
18 April, 2008 at 1:23 pm
Further more if any Blairet would like to check out the Bureau of Metrology for facts they would find.
Novemebr 2007: Below Average
December 2007: Above average, slighlty
Janurary 2007: NO RAIN AT ALL (dry spell started in December)
Feb 2008: Above Average
March 2008: Below Average
April 2008: Not plotted yet (its still April..derr) But it will be WAY above average.
SO a few different extremes within 6 months.
its CHAOS baby!
Newly Zombified Lorenz would approve
18 April, 2008 at 1:47 pm
oops March 2008 was above average. Hmmm.
so record dry spell into big wet spell
And the ‘average’ is of course a moving average as climate is dynamic not static.
Suggests change eh.
Of course you wold need to look at data over decades to confirm.
Its simply human nature not to realise you are not the centre of the universe and time periods are relative with the human lifespan just a blink of an eye.
Now to do somthing productive.
18 April, 2008 at 5:49 pm
“Your Ph.D will be ready to collect from Kwik Copy in about 10 minutes.”
HAHA love it.
18 April, 2008 at 8:35 pm
It’s very sad that Tim and Andy are well paid to write the rubbish they do. Terry McCrann is not much better in the business section of the Hun.
20 April, 2008 at 1:44 am
The taking of iraq by the US was recognised by any military observor with half a brain as a piece of piss. It should be. It is the most advanced military force on the planet. The Iraq forces were a shadow of their former self and a decade of sanctions left it basically rooted.
The issue was always going to be how the US managed the occupation. And they didn’t. They mismanaged it. They mismanaged it in a way that is simply spectacular. So, so, so, so many mistakes.
Which … Blair et al rarely, if ever, focus on.
Mission Accomplished. Remember that? The rest of the world does.
22 April, 2008 at 7:42 pm
Pratt!
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